A system of laws that makes it possible to perform forecasts of technology evolution

triz inventive principles

Transistors per integrated circuit — The most popular formulation is of the doubling of the number of transistors on integrated circuits every two years. Altshuller; B.

triz patterns of evolution

Illustration by: Bryan Christie These days, it seems as if new life-changing technological developments are around every corner, which raises an interesting question: Will technology progress infinitely — assuming we manage to avoid extinction — or is the process finite?

Some of the key innovations are listed below, as examples of breakthroughs that have advanced integrated circuit and semiconductor device fabrication technology, allowing transistor counts to grow by more than seven orders of magnitude in less than five decades.

It no longer centered its research and development plan on Moore's law. Relationships and interactions within the system and with its supersystem must provide a full balance, which means that there must be no negative effects caused by the relationships or the interactions.

Triz matrix

Instead, it outlined what might be called the More than Moore strategy in which the needs of applications drive chip development, rather than a focus on semiconductor scaling. As a result plants are healthier and grow much faster than plants in soil. Moreover, the system can create ecological and other problems, negatively changing the environment, supersystem, human health, neighboring systems and so on. Optical networking and dense wavelength-division multiplexing DWDM is rapidly bringing down the cost of networking, and further progress seems assured. I understand and agree that registration on or use of this site constitutes agreement to its User Agreement and Privacy Policy Subscribe. Analysis of these curves helps one to determine position of the system of interest on its S-curve. It is clear that one of the ways to reduce costs is to remove several components from the system. Therefore in studying the solution of inventive problems, special attention should be paid to examining the "macro to micro transition" and the physical effects which have brought this transition about. For example, the need to increase flexibility of a system by introducing electromagnetic field can contradict the requirement for the design simplicity.

As a rule, the functions and quality of the old system are passed on to the new one, i. Through overpopulation, sea-levels rising or other events wars, geological activity etc.

Fundamentals of triz

Imoto, M. Moreover, the system can create ecological and other problems, negatively changing the environment, supersystem, human health, neighboring systems and so on. Out-of-order execution and on-chip caching and prefetching reduce the memory latency bottleneck at the expense of using more transistors and increasing the processor complexity. The trend of increasing dynamicity in the agriculture technology field can be illustrated by innovations realized within precision agriculture PA that is based on observing, measuring, and responding to crops or soil variability. Instead, it outlined what might be called the More than Moore strategy in which the needs of applications drive chip development, rather than a focus on semiconductor scaling. For instance, digital storage is a large issue for those who work in IT can appreciate. We will run out of accessible resource which we will require for all manner of purposes — from fuel, to implements to technology and testing.

Credit: michaelgreer Human concerns — that of families, insecurities, illness, love, war, religion, grief all play a part in the success or deterioration of great minds. Dynamic laws[ edit ] Transition from macro to micro level The development of working organs proceeds at first on a macro and then a micro level.

ariz triz

By level. Rising manufacturing costs are an important consideration for the sustaining of Moore's law.

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Is Technological Evolution Infinite or Finite?